Sunday, 19 June 2011

England v Sri Lanka, 3rd Test at the Rose Bowl: Day 3

Good morning all! As the action gets underway on day 4 in Southampton we're here to give you a quick update of the WPA situation in this Test as of the end of the third day. Apologies for not making it on yesterday, by the way...

So here is the summary of how the players have contributed to their team's chances of winning/losing/drawing the match (we don't include rain in this table, but it has certainly been the most dominant force in the game so far!):


Eng win
SL win
draw
Trott -4.2% 6.9% -2.7%
Tremlett 40.3% -20.5% -19.8%
Pietersen 9.6% -8.0% -1.6%
Anderson 10.5% -9.9% -0.6%
Broad -9.8% 5.2% 4.7%
Bell 3.3% -2.5% -0.8%
Cook 3.8% -5.1% 1.3%
Strauss -3.2% 5.7% -2.6%
Swann 3.2% -1.1% -2.1%
Prior -0.3% 0.2% 0.1%

SL win
Eng win
draw
Wel'ara -0.2% 3.4% -3.2%
Thiri'ne -5.9% 8.3% -2.4%
Fernando 3.5% -6.2% 2.7%
Sang'ara -6.2% 9.0% -2.8%
M'Jay'dene -6.2% 11.4% -5.2%
Herath -2.1% 3.3% -1.2%
Lakmal 0.1% 5.4% -5.5%
P.Jay'dene 1.0% -2.6% 1.6%
Perera -5.8% 9.4% -3.7%
Parav'ana -6.4% 9.2% -2.8%
Sam'eera -1.4% 6.7% -5.3%

Unsurprisingly, Tremlett's outstanding 6-48 in Sri Lanka's first innnings was massive, and he is the clearly the player of the match so far, earning around 40% of a win from England. Anderson and Pietersen have also made significant contributions of ca. 10% of an England win. It looks like a sorry situation for the Sri Lankans, who have barely seen the game swing in their direction in the match so far.

Here is the story in graphical format; England have a decent chance as it stands currently, in large part due to Kevin Pieterson's brisk scoring pace yesterday evening:



1 comment:

  1. Nice stuff gents!

    Just thinking, about the fourth day and the declaration- presumbaly declaration can feasibly have completely opposite effects on the WPA depending on whether it's too early or too late. Can you comment on that and also whether the WPA change caused by the declaration gets attributed to the Captain in teh final reckoning?

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